A preference for the unpredictable over the informative during self-directed learning

Markant, D. B., & Gureckis, T. M. (2014b). A preference for the unpredictable over the informative during self-directed learning. In P. Bello, M. Guarini, M. McShane, & B. Scassellati (Eds.), Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Cognitive Science Society.


Abstract

The potential information gained from asking a question and one's uncertainty about the answer to that question are not always the same. For example, given a coin that one believes to be fair, the uncertainty a person has about the outcome of flipping that coin is high, but either outcome is unlikely to make them believe that the coin is biased (i.e., the "information gain" of that observation is low). In the present paper we show that people use a simple form of predictive uncertainty to guide their information sampling decisions, a strategy which is often equivalent to maximizing information gain, but is less efficient in environments where potential queries vary in their reliability. We conclude that a potentially powerful driver of human information gathering may be the inability to predict what will happen as a result of an action or query.


Bibtex entry:

@inproceedings{markant2014preference,
	abstract = {The potential information gained from asking a question and one's uncertainty about the answer to that question are not always the same. For example, given a coin that one believes to be fair, the uncertainty a person has about the outcome of flipping that coin is high, but either outcome is unlikely to make them believe that the coin is biased (i.e., the "information gain" of that observation is low). In the present paper we show that people use a simple form of predictive uncertainty to guide their information sampling decisions, a strategy which is often equivalent to maximizing information gain, but is less efficient in environments where potential queries vary in their reliability. We conclude that a potentially powerful driver of human information gathering may be the inability to predict what will happen as a result of an action or query.},
	address = {Austin, TX},
	author = {Markant, D.B. and Gureckis, T.M.},
	booktitle = {Proceedings of the 36th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society},
	editor = {Bello, P. and Guarini, M. and McShane, M. and Scassellati, B.},
	publisher = {Cognitive Science Society},
	title = {A preference for the unpredictable over the informative during self-directed learning},
	year = {2014}}


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