Information sampling for contingency planning

Ma, I., Ma, W. J., & Gureckis, T. M. (2021). Information sampling for contingency planning. In T. Fitch, C. Lamm, H. Leder, & K. Teßmar-Raible (Eds.), Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (Vol. 43, Issue 43). Cognitive Science Society.


Abstract

From navigation in unfamiliar environments to career planning, people typically first sample information before committing to a plan. However, most studies find that people adopt myopic strategies when sampling information. Here we challenge those findings by investigating whether contingency planning is a driver of information sampling. To this aim, we developed a novel navigation task that is a shortest path finding problem under uncertainty of bridge closures. Participants (n = 109) were allowed to sample information on bridge statuses prior to committing to a path. We developed a computational model in which the agent samples information based on the cost of switching to a contingency plan. We find that this model fits human behavior well and is qualitatively similar to the approximated optimal solution. Together, this suggests that humans use contingency planning as a driver of information sampling.


Bibtex entry:

@inproceedings{ma2021information,
	abstract = {From navigation in unfamiliar environments to career planning, people typically first sample information before committing to a plan. However, most studies find that people adopt myopic strategies when sampling information. Here we challenge those findings by investigating whether contingency planning is a driver of information sampling. To this aim, we developed a novel navigation task that is a shortest path finding problem under uncertainty of bridge closures. Participants (n = 109) were allowed to sample information on bridge statuses prior to committing to a path. We developed a computational model in which the agent samples information based on the cost of switching to a contingency plan. We find that this model fits human behavior well and is qualitatively similar to the approximated optimal solution. Together, this suggests that humans use contingency planning as a driver of information sampling.},
	address = {Austin, TX},
	author = {Ma, I. and Ma, W.J. and Gureckis, T.M.},
	booktitle = {Proceedings of the 43rd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society},
	editor = {Fitch, T. and Lamm, C. and Leder, H. and Te{\ss}mar-Raible, K.},
	number = {43},
	publisher = {Cognitive Science Society},
	title = {Information sampling for contingency planning},
	volume = {43},
	year = {2021}}


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